Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 152.38

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9975Off-Season Demo Team 9975

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9974Off-Season Demo Team 9974

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 351.7 ±16

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 64.84Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3838Roc City Robotix

Provisional

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 34.43Rank 6Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2228CougarTech

Season APEX 113Event APEX 53.11Rank 12Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9975, 9974, 9976

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9975, 9974, 9976

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3173, 3838, 2228

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.4 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3173, 3838, 2228

Auto

45.0 30%

Teleop

76.7 52%

Endgame

26.2 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score152.4pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -152.4
Score range: -34–186
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 188.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX351.7

0Auto45

0Teleop76.7

0Endgame26.2

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	0	1

Result

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 pts