Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

342.94 – 106.46

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 224.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.9 ±16.4

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 124.35Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 204.59Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 14Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9975Off-Season Demo Team 9975

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9974Off-Season Demo Team 9974

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1591, 340, 10223

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.9 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1591, 340, 10223

Auto

57.1 17%

Teleop

185.5 54%

Endgame

102.3 30%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9975, 9974, 9976

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.5 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9975, 9974, 9976

Auto

31.9 30%

Teleop

53.2 50%

Endgame

21.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score342.9pts

Blue projected score106.5pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 236.5
Score range: 68–381
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 212.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

567.9Season APEX0

57.1Auto-

185.5Teleop-

102.3Endgame-

16Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	1	0

Result

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 224.2 pts