Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.85 – 254.8

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

221 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 86.7 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 456.9 ±16.8

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 48.56Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 19.2Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 53.09Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.7 ±16.3

1507Warlocks

Season APEX 154.7Event APEX 86.04Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 144.04Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7030The ROBOlympians

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 24.72Rank 16Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3173, 1591, 10223

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3173, 1591, 10223

Auto

22.1 19%

Teleop

44.3 39%

Endgame

48.4 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1507, 424, 7030

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.8 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1507, 424, 7030

Auto

63.5 26%

Teleop

178.6 72%

Endgame

5.7 2%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score120.9pts

Blue projected score254.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -134
Score range: 87–289
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 549 vs event baseline 187.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

456.9Season APEX433.7

22.1Auto63.5

44.3Teleop178.6

48.4Endgame5.7

35Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	42
teleop	97	169
endgame	84	117
foul	0	0
total	221	328

Result

Final score

221 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 86.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable