Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

286.82 – 105.78

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 594.3 ±15.5

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 44.28Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 87.76Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 154.78Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.1 ±19.4

1405Finney Falcons

Season APEX 188.4Event APEX 104.29Rank 8Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7030The ROBOlympians

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 17.92Rank 16Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3838Roc City Robotix

Provisional

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX -16.43Rank 6Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10223, 3181, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.8 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10223, 3181, 340

Auto

73.7 25%

Teleop

189.3 64%

Endgame

34.2 12%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1405, 7030, 3838

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1405, 7030, 3838

Auto

1.6 1%

Teleop

75.9 71%

Endgame

29.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score286.8pts

Blue projected score105.8pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 181
Score range: 73–320
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 182.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

594.3Season APEX331.1

73.7Auto1.6

189.3Teleop75.9

34.2Endgame29.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	11
teleop	164	84
endgame	99	47
foul	0	0
total	314	142

Result

Final score

314 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable