Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.93 – 122.33

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

280 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 88.7 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518.7 ±17.3

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 43.56Rank 7Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 117.09Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3799Electric Fire

Provisional

Season APEX 98Event APEX 49.28Rank 10Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.9 ±17.7

2228CougarTech

Season APEX 113Event APEX 76.55Rank 12Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1450XQ Robotix Team 1450

Provisional

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 15.1Rank 17Record 0-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

191X-CATS

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 30.68Rank 13Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2340, 424, 3799

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.9 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2340, 424, 3799

Auto

14.4 7%

Teleop

140.0 67%

Endgame

54.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2228, 1450, 191

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.3 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2228, 1450, 191

Auto

32.6 28%

Teleop

85.7 73%

Endgame

-1.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score209.9pts

Blue projected score122.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.6
Score range: 88–244
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 188.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518.7Season APEX290.9

14.4Auto32.6

140Teleop85.7

54.2Endgame-1.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	11
teleop	119	3
endgame	60	1
foul	60	0
total	280	15

Result

Final score

280 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 88.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable