Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

340.22 – 122.12

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

312 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.9 ±15.9

3799Electric Fire

Provisional

Season APEX 98Event APEX 27.02Rank 10Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 205.78Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1507Warlocks

Season APEX 154.7Event APEX 107.42Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.1 ±17.7

2228CougarTech

Season APEX 113Event APEX 39.17Rank 12Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 90.73Rank 7Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7030The ROBOlympians

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -7.78Rank 16Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3799, 340, 1507

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.2 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3799, 340, 1507

Auto

65.1 20%

Teleop

199.9 60%

Endgame

67.0 20%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2228, 2340, 7030

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2228, 2340, 7030

Auto

26.8 23%

Teleop

70.7 60%

Endgame

21.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score340.2pts

Blue projected score122.1pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 218.1
Score range: 86–376
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 428 vs event baseline 199.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.9Season APEX371.1

65.1Auto26.8

199.9Teleop70.7

67Endgame21.3

14Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	0
teleop	178	82
endgame	55	34
foul	0	0
total	312	116

Result

Final score

312 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable