Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

338.31 – 215.09

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 549.7 ±13.3

1507Warlocks

Season APEX 154.7Event APEX 104.68Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1405Finney Falcons

Season APEX 188.4Event APEX 78.12Rank 8Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 155.51Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.7 ±16.9

7030The ROBOlympians

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -11.47Rank 16Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

191X-CATS

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 22.47Rank 13Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 204.09Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1507, 1405, 1591

/ 100 compat

Projected

338.3 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1507, 1405, 1591

Auto

43.9 13%

Teleop

197.5 58%

Endgame

97.6 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7030, 191, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7030, 191, 340

Auto

42.0 19%

Teleop

113.6 52%

Endgame

64.0 29%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score338.3pts

Blue projected score215.1pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.2
Score range: 177–376
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 211.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

549.7Season APEX441.7

43.9Auto42

197.5Teleop113.6

97.6Endgame64

33Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	37
teleop	160	100
endgame	90	1
foul	5	15
total	288	153

Result

Final score

288 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable