Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

130.15 – 74.72

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

141 – 153

Prediction missed · off by 44.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.5 ±17.2

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX -3.81Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1405Finney Falcons

Season APEX 188.4Event APEX 82.76Rank 8Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2228CougarTech

Season APEX 113Event APEX 51.2Rank 12Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.7 ±19

3799Electric Fire

Provisional

Season APEX 98Event APEX 18.19Rank 10Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3838Roc City Robotix

Provisional

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 13.84Rank 6Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 42.69Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10223, 1405, 2228

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.2 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10223, 1405, 2228

Auto

27.2 23%

Teleop

84.8 72%

Endgame

5.6 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3799, 3838, 3173

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.7 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3799, 3838, 3173

Auto

9.0 21%

Teleop

19.9 46%

Endgame

14.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score130.2pts

Blue projected score74.7pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.4
Score range: 37–168
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 213.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.5Season APEX336.7

27.2Auto9

84.8Teleop19.9

5.6Endgame14

50Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	51
teleop	88	90
endgame	33	12
foul	0	0
total	141	153

Result

Final score

141 – 153

Prediction missed · off by 44.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable