Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

316.27 – 101.95

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

556 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 162.3 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 627.3 ±13.9

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 35.37Rank 7Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 108.97Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 171.93Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.7 ±17.3

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 54.08Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4930Electric Mayhem

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 15.65Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

7030The ROBOlympians

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 32.22Rank 16Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2340, 1591, 424

/ 100 compat

Projected

316.3 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2340, 1591, 424

Auto

38.7 13%

Teleop

167.9 58%

Endgame

80.9 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3173, 4930, 7030

/ 100 compat

Projected

102 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3173, 4930, 7030

Auto

21.9 20%

Teleop

51.4 46%

Endgame

38.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score316.3pts

Blue projected score102pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 214.3
Score range: 65–353
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 573 vs event baseline 206.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

627.3Season APEX307.7

38.7Auto21.9

167.9Teleop51.4

80.9Endgame38.4

62Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	6
teleop	330	10
endgame	147	1
foul	0	0
total	556	17

Result

Final score

556 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 162.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable