Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

332.65 – 268.03

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

431 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.9 ±16.4

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 9.95Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 202.27Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 120.43Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.1 ±12.9

4930Electric Mayhem

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX -0.47Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 89.14Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 179.36Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10223, 340, 1591

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.7 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10223, 340, 1591

Auto

62.9 19%

Teleop

180.7 55%

Endgame

82.2 25%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4930, 3181, 424

/ 100 compat

Projected

268 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4930, 3181, 424

Auto

57.2 22%

Teleop

140.6 54%

Endgame

63.8 24%

Strengths

· 424 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score332.7pts

Blue projected score268pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.6
Score range: 233–368
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 730 vs event baseline 194.3.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

567.9Season APEX549.1

62.9Auto57.2

180.7Teleop140.6

82.2Endgame63.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	112	76
teleop	280	102
endgame	34	121
foul	5	0
total	431	299

Result

Final score

431 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 pts