Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

331.24 – 240.97

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

361 – 473

Prediction missed · off by 130.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.9 ±16.4

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 119.96Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 9.26Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 202.02Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.1 ±12.9

4930Electric Mayhem

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX -9.98Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 81.24Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 169.71Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1591, 10223, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.2 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1591, 10223, 340

Auto

61.8 19%

Teleop

180.0 56%

Endgame

81.2 25%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4930, 3181, 424

/ 100 compat

Projected

241 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4930, 3181, 424

Auto

53.4 22%

Teleop

124.7 52%

Endgame

59.7 25%

Strengths

· 424 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.07 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score331.2pts

Blue projected score241pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.3
Score range: 207–365
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 834 vs event baseline 187.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

567.9Season APEX549.1

61.8Auto53.4

180Teleop124.7

81.2Endgame59.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	86
teleop	196	261
endgame	92	96
foul	0	30
total	361	473

Result

Final score

361 – 473

Prediction missed · off by 130.9 pts