Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.9 – 222.66

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 125.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.9 ±16.4

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 115.44Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 4.58Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 197.88Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.1 ±12.9

4930Electric Mayhem

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX -16.51Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 75.94Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 163.23Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1591, 10223, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.9 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1591, 10223, 340

Auto

58.6 19%

Teleop

178.5 58%

Endgame

71.3 23%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4930, 3181, 424

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.7 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4930, 3181, 424

Auto

51.4 23%

Teleop

115.8 53%

Endgame

51.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score317.9pts

Blue projected score222.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.2
Score range: 190–351
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 791 vs event baseline 181.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

567.9Season APEX549.1

58.6Auto51.4

178.5Teleop115.8

71.3Endgame51.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	69
teleop	195	184
endgame	144	117
foul	0	0
total	421	370

Result

Final score

421 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 125.2 pts