Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

194.41 – 252.25

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.1 ±13.9

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 15.5Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 105.56Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 73.35Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.2 ±15.3

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 111.43Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6873The Generals

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 32.33Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 108.49Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8739, 369, 6593

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8739, 369, 6593

Auto

36.4 20%

Teleop

100.3 56%

Endgame

42.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 333, 6873, 334

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 333, 6873, 334

Auto

49.2 20%

Teleop

143.2 59%

Endgame

50.2 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score194.4pts

Blue projected score252.3pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.8
Score range: 167–279
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 150.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.1Season APEX363.2

36.4Auto49.2

100.3Teleop143.2

42.9Endgame50.2

4Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	25
teleop	76	106
endgame	50	58
foul	0	5
total	155	194

Result

Final score

155 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 pts

Match videos

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