Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

450.61 – 241.53

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

590 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 90.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.1 ±10.7

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 282.26Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 11.09Rank 39Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 157.26Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.8 ±12.8

6648MechaSpartans

Season APEX 80.8Event APEX 21.56Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 101.94Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 118.03Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 5298, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

450.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 5298, 3015

Auto

108.0 24%

Teleop

237.4 54%

Endgame

96.0 22%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6648, 1601, 3419

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.5 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6648, 1601, 3419

Auto

41.4 17%

Teleop

141.2 59%

Endgame

57.7 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score450.6pts

Blue projected score241.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 209.1
Score range: 216–477
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 874 vs event baseline 146.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

710.1Season APEX352.8

108Auto41.4

237.4Teleop141.2

96Endgame57.7

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	127	43
teleop	281	134
endgame	152	107
foul	30	0
total	590	284

Result

Final score

590 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 90.9 pts

Match videos

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