Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.35 – 162.76

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

205 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 470.7 ±13.9

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 138.08Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3204Steampunk Penguins

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 29.94Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 149.33Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 429.6 ±13.4

10229Event Horizon

Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 98.41Rank 16Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4729EMU Robotics

Season APEX 66.9Event APEX 8.38Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2601Steel Hawks

Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 55.97Rank 8Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2872, 3204, 6985

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2872, 3204, 6985

Auto

64.0 20%

Teleop

175.4 56%

Endgame

73.0 23%

Strengths

· 6985 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10229, 4729, 2601

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10229, 4729, 2601

Auto

36.5 22%

Teleop

84.4 52%

Endgame

41.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score317.4pts

Blue projected score162.8pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.6
Score range: 137–343
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 145.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

470.7Season APEX429.6

64Auto36.5

175.4Teleop84.4

73Endgame41.8

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	48
teleop	104	77
endgame	22	31
foul	0	30
total	205	186

Result

Final score

205 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.