Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

517.59 – 171.85

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

280 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 135.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.1 ±10.7

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 299.44Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 33.79Rank 39Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 184.36Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.5 ±16

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 37.51Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 103.18Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 31.16Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 5298, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

517.6 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 5298, 3015

Auto

113.7 22%

Teleop

269.6 53%

Endgame

126.1 25%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9642, 4972, 516

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.9 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9642, 4972, 516

Auto

28.7 17%

Teleop

87.2 52%

Endgame

51.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score517.6pts

Blue projected score171.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 345.7
Score range: 147–543
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 486 vs event baseline 140.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

710.1Season APEX290.5

113.7Auto28.7

269.6Teleop87.2

126.1Endgame51.2

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	24
teleop	148	101
endgame	18	66
foul	15	15
total	280	206

Result

Final score

280 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 135.9 pts

Match videos

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