Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

483.39 – 242

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

532 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.1 ±10.7

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 295.59Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 19.91Rank 39Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 167.89Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.2 ±15.3

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 106.27Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6873The Generals

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 28.76Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 106.97Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 5298, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

483.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 5298, 3015

Auto

112.0 24%

Teleop

249.1 53%

Endgame

108.0 23%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 333, 6873, 334

/ 100 compat

Projected

242 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 333, 6873, 334

Auto

43.6 19%

Teleop

136.9 59%

Endgame

51.9 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score483.4pts

Blue projected score242pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 241.4
Score range: 215–510
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 704 vs event baseline 152.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

710.1Season APEX363.2

112Auto43.6

249.1Teleop136.9

108Endgame51.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	141	36
teleop	264	103
endgame	112	18
foul	15	15
total	532	172

Result

Final score

532 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Match videos

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