Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.22 – 154.03

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.1 ±13.9

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 14.5Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 103.17Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 69.55Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.2 ±19.2

5806Basement Lions

Season APEX 86.4Event APEX 26.39Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2344The Saunders Droid Factory

Provisional

Season APEX 118.7Event APEX 62.07Rank 7Record 7-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

354G-House Pirates

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 65.57Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8739, 369, 6593

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8739, 369, 6593

Auto

35.3 20%

Teleop

96.1 55%

Endgame

44.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5806, 2344, 354

/ 100 compat

Projected

154 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5806, 2344, 354

Auto

14.5 10%

Teleop

85.9 60%

Endgame

42.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score187.2pts

Blue projected score154pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.2
Score range: 127–214
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 151.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.1Season APEX320.2

35.3Auto14.5

96.1Teleop85.9

44.3Endgame42.2

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	23
teleop	107	60
endgame	61	35
foul	0	0
total	210	118

Result

Final score

210 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.