Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
59.63 – 59.63
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 99
Prediction missed · off by 26.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±14.5
Season APEX 80.8Event APEX -Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX -Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±17.2
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX -Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
6590SaviTech
Provisional
Season APEX 68.4Event APEX -Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6648, 516, 5123
50
/ 100 compatProjected
59.6 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 6648, 516, 5123
Auto
17.9 30%
Teleop
29.8 50%
Endgame
11.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8739, 6593, 6590
50
/ 100 compatProjected
59.6 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 8739, 6593, 6590
Auto
17.9 30%
Teleop
29.8 50%
Endgame
11.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score59.6pts
Blue projected score59.6pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 39–81
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.3Season APEX242.4
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 18 |
| teleop | 9 | 52 |
| endgame | 18 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 99 |
Result
Final score
46 – 99
Prediction missed · off by 26.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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