Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.01 – 227.11

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.6 ±17.7

5421BirchBots

Provisional

Season APEX 93.7Event APEX 7.1Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

64018-bit RAMs

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 3.98Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 29.93Rank 39Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 358.6 ±18.4

6873The Generals

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 26.5Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

640Edison Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 100.2Event APEX 38.37Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 162.24Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5421, 6401, 5298

/ 100 compat

Projected

41 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5421, 6401, 5298

Auto

23.7 61%

Teleop

7.3 19%

Endgame

7.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6873, 640, 6985

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6873, 640, 6985

Auto

54.4 25%

Teleop

132.1 61%

Endgame

31.3 14%

Strengths

· 6985 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score41pts

Blue projected score227.1pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -186.1
Score range: 16–252
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 139.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.6Season APEX358.6

23.7Auto54.4

7.3Teleop132.1

7.7Endgame31.3

10Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	69
teleop	26	134
endgame	22	57
foul	0	0
total	72	260

Result

Final score

72 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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