Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.65 – 91.05

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

70 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 20.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.4 ±17

4729EMU Robotics

Season APEX 66.9Event APEX 3.94Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

354G-House Pirates

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 63.11Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 10.6Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.6 ±19.8

743Technobots

Provisional

Season APEX 55Event APEX 22.62Rank 36Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2344The Saunders Droid Factory

Provisional

Season APEX 118.7Event APEX 56.38Rank 7Record 7-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 12.05Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4729, 354, 8739

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4729, 354, 8739

Auto

12.8 18%

Teleop

26.7 37%

Endgame

31.8 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 743, 2344, 6969

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 743, 2344, 6969

Auto

20.9 22%

Teleop

54.0 58%

Endgame

18.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score77.6pts

Blue projected score91.1pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.4
Score range: 53–116
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.4Season APEX223.6

12.8Auto20.9

26.7Teleop54

31.8Endgame18.4

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	18
teleop	25	16
endgame	38	9
foul	0	15
total	70	58

Result

Final score

70 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 20.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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