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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
New York City Regional

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

254.94 – 129.52

83%17%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

390 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 77.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 544.4 ±12.4
10229Event Horizon
B
Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 80.23Rank 16Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5806Basement Lions
C
Season APEX 86.4Event APEX 6.31Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92
3015Ranger Robotics
A+
Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 168.4Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.2 ±17.7
9509Cybears
Provisional
Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 17.64Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
6024R Factor
D
Season APEX 58Event APEX 10.42Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88
369High Voltage Robotics
C
Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 101.46Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10229, 5806, 3015
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
254.9 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 10229, 5806, 3015
Auto
64.9 27%
Teleop
133.5 55%
Endgame
45.5 19%
Strengths
  • · 3015 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9509, 6024, 369
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
129.5 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 9509, 6024, 369
Auto
25.7 20%
Teleop
66.6 53%
Endgame
33.3 27%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score254.9pts
Blue projected score129.5pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
125.4
Score range
105–280
Upset likelihood
17%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 500 vs event baseline 139.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

544.4Season APEX242.2
64.9Auto25.7
133.5Teleop66.6
45.5Endgame33.3
66Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto8029
teleop21652
endgame9429
foul00
total390110

Result

Final score

390 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 77.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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