Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.79 – 57.42

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343 ±16.8

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 146.34Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6590SaviTech

Provisional

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 8.66Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 33.79Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.9 ±20.5

3017Patriots

Provisional

Season APEX 47.2Event APEX -5.18Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

4383The P-TECH Fly-Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 19.47Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3004Bx Quixote

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 43.13Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2872, 6590, 9642

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2872, 6590, 9642

Auto

38.1 21%

Teleop

103.5 56%

Endgame

42.1 23%

Strengths

· 2872 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3017, 4383, 3004

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3017, 4383, 3004

Auto

17.2 34%

Teleop

20.6 40%

Endgame

13.2 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score188.8pts

Blue projected score57.4pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 131.4
Score range: 32–214
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 139.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343Season APEX175.9

38.1Auto17.2

103.5Teleop20.6

42.1Endgame13.2

8Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	27
teleop	136	13
endgame	95	8
foul	0	0
total	248	48

Result

Final score

248 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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