Qualification · Qualification 63
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
113.67 – 190.18
28%72%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
53 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 221.2 ±15
Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 3.33Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 79.32Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 31.02Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.6 ±16.8
1635TECHNOTICS
Provisional
Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 21.88Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 109.6Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 58.7Rank 8Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7668, 6593, 7730
55
/ 100 compatProjected
113.7 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 7668, 6593, 7730
Auto
21.6 20%
Teleop
60.2 55%
Endgame
27.0 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1635, 333, 2601
77
/ 100 compatProjected
190.2 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1635, 333, 2601
Auto
40.1 22%
Teleop
105.7 57%
Endgame
38.6 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score113.7pts
Blue projected score190.2pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -76.5
- Score range
- 89–215
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
221.2Season APEX400.6
21.6Auto40.1
60.2Teleop105.7
27Endgame38.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 33 |
| teleop | 32 | 123 |
| endgame | 12 | 62 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 53 | 218 |
Result
Final score
53 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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