Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.78 – 170.63

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.1 ±21.4

3390ANATOLIAN EAGLEBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 20.44Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

1635TECHNOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 32.35Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6873The Generals

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 24.99Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.7 ±13.9

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 45.89Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5806Basement Lions

Season APEX 86.4Event APEX 22.4Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 102.34Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3390, 1635, 6873

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3390, 1635, 6873

Auto

16.3 21%

Teleop

42.4 56%

Endgame

17.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9642, 5806, 333

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9642, 5806, 333

Auto

37.1 23%

Teleop

77.9 49%

Endgame

44.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score77.8pts

Blue projected score170.6pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.8
Score range: 49–200
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 160.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.1Season APEX297.7

16.3Auto37.1

42.4Teleop77.9

17.5Endgame44.5

13Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	33
teleop	17	80
endgame	20	34
foul	0	30
total	51	177

Result

Final score

51 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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