Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.58 – 49.29

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

219 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.2 ±18.7

2344The Saunders Droid Factory

Provisional

Season APEX 118.7Event APEX 50.35Rank 7Record 7-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 91.64Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9509Cybears

Provisional

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 7.59Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.6 ±20.5

6590SaviTech

Provisional

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 12.48Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 19.95Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4299BCS RoboSharks

Provisional

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 16.86Rank 40Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2344, 3419, 9509

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2344, 3419, 9509

Auto

14.6 10%

Teleop

94.0 62%

Endgame

42.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6590, 6969, 4299

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.3 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6590, 6969, 4299

Auto

12.8 26%

Teleop

16.8 34%

Endgame

19.4 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score149.6pts

Blue projected score49.3pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.3
Score range: 24–175
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 140.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.2Season APEX183.6

14.6Auto12.8

94Teleop16.8

42Endgame19.4

69Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	8
teleop	142	4
endgame	48	2
foul	0	0
total	219	14

Result

Final score

219 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.