Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

215.62 – 310.03

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

197 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.6 ±13.4

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 164.25Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 38.22Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4729EMU Robotics

Season APEX 66.9Event APEX 13.15Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523.4 ±16.1

11090Kronos

Provisional

Season APEX 83.8Event APEX 26.71Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 108.01Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 175.31Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6985, 9642, 4729

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6985, 9642, 4729

Auto

47.3 22%

Teleop

128.5 61%

Endgame

35.5 17%

Strengths

· 6985 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11090, 369, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

310 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 11090, 369, 3015

Auto

67.4 22%

Teleop

169.2 54%

Endgame

74.2 24%

Strengths

· 3015 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score215.6pts

Blue projected score310pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.4
Score range: 191–335
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 139.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.6Season APEX523.4

47.3Auto67.4

128.5Teleop169.2

35.5Endgame74.2

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	71
teleop	47	148
endgame	65	14
foul	15	35
total	197	268

Result

Final score

197 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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