Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.01 – 40.19

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

178 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 17.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±17.5

7730uNReal

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 28.34Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 92.7Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3004Bx Quixote

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 38.97Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228 ±15

4571Rambots

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 2.95Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9030Qarabagh MecHack

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 12.05Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 25.19Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7730, 4972, 3004

/ 100 compat

Projected

160 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7730, 4972, 3004

Auto

36.3 23%

Teleop

79.4 50%

Endgame

44.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4571, 9030, 516

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4571, 9030, 516

Auto

0.3 1%

Teleop

12.7 32%

Endgame

26.2 67%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score160pts

Blue projected score40.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 119.8
Score range: 15–185
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 140.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.2Season APEX228

36.3Auto0.3

79.4Teleop12.7

44.3Endgame26.2

31Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	11
teleop	101	25
endgame	50	22
foul	0	0
total	178	58

Result

Final score

178 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 17.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.