Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.96 – 40.98

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

468 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.3 ±16.1

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 95.81Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5421BirchBots

Provisional

Season APEX 93.7Event APEX 2.24Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 281.91Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.1 ±20.5

7036The Beta Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX 16.4Rank 51Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6024R Factor

Season APEX 58Event APEX 11.53Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

9295Harlem Rails

Provisional

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 13.05Rank 31Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 333, 5421, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

380 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 333, 5421, 694

Auto

87.3 24%

Teleop

198.9 55%

Endgame

78.6 22%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7036, 6024, 9295

/ 100 compat

Projected

41 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7036, 6024, 9295

Auto

18.0 51%

Teleop

8.0 22%

Endgame

9.6 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score380pts

Blue projected score41pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 339
Score range: 16–405
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 509 vs event baseline 138.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

534.3Season APEX132.1

87.3Auto18

198.9Teleop8

78.6Endgame9.6

6Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	19
teleop	245	6
endgame	105	16
foul	20	0
total	468	41

Result

Final score

468 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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