Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.63 – 76.38

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

212 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.4 ±16.8

3390ANATOLIAN EAGLEBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 16.27Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 73.48Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10229Event Horizon

Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 73.88Rank 16Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.7 ±15

10452RoboLions

Season APEX 27Event APEX 7.44Rank 48Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 41.42Rank 39Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3204Steampunk Penguins

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 27.52Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3390, 6593, 10229

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3390, 6593, 10229

Auto

34.3 22%

Teleop

86.7 56%

Endgame

34.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10452, 5298, 3204

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10452, 5298, 3204

Auto

29.8 39%

Teleop

13.5 18%

Endgame

33.7 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score163.6pts

Blue projected score76.4pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.3
Score range: 51–189
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 260 vs event baseline 138.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.4Season APEX197.7

34.3Auto29.8

86.7Teleop13.5

34.2Endgame33.7

42Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	16
teleop	142	22
endgame	42	10
foul	0	0
total	212	48

Result

Final score

212 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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