Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.81 – 90.16

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.6 ±15.8

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 22.05Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6873The Generals

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 21.37Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 46.39Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179.5 ±17.7

7730uNReal

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 40.48Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10454UPC Raptors

Provisional

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 27.18Rank 22Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 22.5Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6969, 6873, 9642

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6969, 6873, 9642

Auto

15.8 21%

Teleop

37.6 50%

Endgame

21.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7730, 10454, 516

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7730, 10454, 516

Auto

12.5 15%

Teleop

35.2 41%

Endgame

38.4 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.8pts

Blue projected score90.2pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.3
Score range: 65–115
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 132 vs event baseline 139.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.6Season APEX179.5

15.8Auto12.5

37.6Teleop35.2

21.8Endgame38.4

24Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	22
teleop	22	28
endgame	17	21
foul	0	0
total	61	71

Result

Final score

61 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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