Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

338.16 – 210.61

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

381 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 485.6 ±18.4

354G-House Pirates

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 61.5Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3017Patriots

Provisional

Season APEX 47.2Event APEX -1.25Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 277.91Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307 ±14.5

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 96.53Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

64018-bit RAMs

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX -2.76Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 116.84Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 354, 3017, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

338.2 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 354, 3017, 694

Auto

62.8 19%

Teleop

188.3 57%

Endgame

77.9 24%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 333, 6401, 369

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 333, 6401, 369

Auto

39.9 20%

Teleop

119.7 59%

Endgame

41.6 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score338.2pts

Blue projected score210.6pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.6
Score range: 186–363
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 583 vs event baseline 137.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

485.6Season APEX307

62.8Auto39.9

188.3Teleop119.7

77.9Endgame41.6

76Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	54
teleop	237	112
endgame	109	31
foul	15	5
total	381	202

Result

Final score

381 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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