Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.21 – 101.39

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401 ±17.3

2601Steel Hawks

Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 66.59Rank 8Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

640Edison Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 100.2Event APEX 46.2Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3004Bx Quixote

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 44.42Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.4 ±17.7

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 84.9Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5123Mechadogs

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 6.95Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

9509Cybears

Provisional

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 9.54Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2601, 640, 3004

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2601, 640, 3004

Auto

21.5 14%

Teleop

91.4 57%

Endgame

46.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1601, 5123, 9509

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1601, 5123, 9509

Auto

33.8 34%

Teleop

50.2 51%

Endgame

14.9 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score157.2pts

Blue projected score101.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.8
Score range: 76–182
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 137.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401Season APEX243.4

21.5Auto33.8

91.4Teleop50.2

46.1Endgame14.9

0Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	37
teleop	53	43
endgame	29	31
foul	5	0
total	128	111

Result

Final score

128 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.