Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.55 – 160.4

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 132.7 ±20.5

3390ANATOLIAN EAGLEBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 10.25Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7668GatorBots

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX -3.21Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7036The Beta Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX 13.51Rank 51Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.5 ±19.7

9295Harlem Rails

Provisional

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -4.16Rank 31Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 161.75Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6590SaviTech

Provisional

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 2.81Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3390, 7668, 7036

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.6 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3390, 7668, 7036

Auto

8.8 52%

Teleop

-0.1 0%

Endgame

8.1 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9295, 6985, 6590

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9295, 6985, 6590

Auto

44.4 27%

Teleop

104.2 63%

Endgame

16.0 10%

Strengths

· 6985 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score20.6pts

Blue projected score160.4pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -139.8
Score range: -4–185
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 137.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

132.7Season APEX321.5

8.8Auto44.4

-0.1Teleop104.2

8.1Endgame16

101Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	57
teleop	15	129
endgame	12	40
foul	0	15
total	42	241

Result

Final score

42 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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