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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
New York City Regional

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.63 – 60.64

75%25%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

96 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.5 ±17
6593HyperDrive Robotics
C
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 81.02Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2344The Saunders Droid Factory
Provisional
Season APEX 118.7Event APEX 66.97Rank 7Record 7-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
9636Space Junk
D
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -0.36Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±20.5
11090Kronos
Provisional
Season APEX 83.8Event APEX 33.56Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
6024R Factor
D
Season APEX 58Event APEX 16.49Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88
4383The P-TECH Fly-Bots
Provisional
Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 10.59Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6593, 2344, 9636
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
147.6 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 6593, 2344, 9636
Auto
38.5 28%
Teleop
85.0 61%
Endgame
15.3 11%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11090, 6024, 4383
32
/ 100 compat
Projected
60.6 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 11090, 6024, 4383
Auto
10.6 19%
Teleop
39.6 71%
Endgame
5.7 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.95 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score147.6pts
Blue projected score60.6pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
87
Score range
36–173
Upset likelihood
25%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 132 vs event baseline 139.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.5Season APEX186.9
38.5Auto10.6
85Teleop39.6
15.3Endgame5.7
0Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1120
teleop6111
endgame245
foul00
total9636

Result

Final score

96 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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