Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

267.25 – 247.62

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355 ±13.9

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 93.92Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 172.31Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7668GatorBots

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 1.02Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.8 ±18.4

354G-House Pirates

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 76.79Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 112.37Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 58.46Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1601, 6985, 7668

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.3 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1601, 6985, 7668

Auto

59.7 22%

Teleop

152.1 57%

Endgame

54.3 20%

Strengths

· 6985 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 354, 4972, 9642

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.6 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 354, 4972, 9642

Auto

36.0 15%

Teleop

149.2 64%

Endgame

49.2 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score267.3pts

Blue projected score247.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.6
Score range: 223–292
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 375 vs event baseline 136.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355Season APEX326.8

59.7Auto36

152.1Teleop149.2

54.3Endgame49.2

62Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	6
teleop	143	79
endgame	21	67
foul	0	0
total	223	152

Result

Final score

223 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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