Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.93 – 384.17

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 351

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.5 ±20

9509Cybears

Provisional

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 8.04Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 14.2Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3053VB Stingers

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX 15.69Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.7 ±13

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 88.28Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9030Qarabagh MecHack

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 18.51Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 277.38Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9509, 8739, 3053

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.9 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9509, 8739, 3053

Auto

2.6 7%

Teleop

-3.5 0%

Endgame

37.9 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6593, 9030, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6593, 9030, 694

Auto

69.0 18%

Teleop

208.7 55%

Endgame

100.6 27%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score37.9pts

Blue projected score384.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -346.2
Score range: 13–409
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 138.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.5Season APEX544.7

2.6Auto69

-3.5Teleop208.7

37.9Endgame100.6

155Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	84
teleop	4	181
endgame	5	71
foul	0	15
total	27	351

Result

Final score

27 – 351

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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