Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.48 – 6.01

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

116 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346 ±17.3

3204Steampunk Penguins

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 36.81Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 77.71Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6590SaviTech

Provisional

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 5.96Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.7 ±15.6

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 12.49Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

9636Space Junk

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -4.53Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

64018-bit RAMs

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX -1.95Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3204, 334, 6590

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.5 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3204, 334, 6590

Auto

26.0 21%

Teleop

59.4 49%

Endgame

37.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6969, 9636, 6401

/ 100 compat

Projected

6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6969, 9636, 6401

Auto

22.4 0%

Teleop

-2.3 100%

Endgame

-20.6 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.5pts

Blue projected score6pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.5
Score range: -19–145
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 139.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346Season APEX164.7

26Auto22.4

59.4Teleop-2.3

37Endgame-20.6

63Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	16
teleop	65	13
endgame	18	0
foul	5	5
total	116	34

Result

Final score

116 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.