Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.84 – 113.59

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169 ±21.4

9509Cybears

Provisional

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 2.63Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3017Patriots

Provisional

Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 1.81Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6873The Generals

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 18.4Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.2 ±17

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 108.72Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7668GatorBots

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX -18.81Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6648MechaSpartans

Season APEX 80.8Event APEX 23.68Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9509, 3017, 6873

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9509, 3017, 6873

Auto

3.1 41%

Teleop

3.0 40%

Endgame

1.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4972, 7668, 6648

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4972, 7668, 6648

Auto

6.7 7%

Teleop

56.6 61%

Endgame

29.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score22.8pts

Blue projected score113.6pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.7
Score range: -3–140
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 213 vs event baseline 142.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169Season APEX241.2

3.1Auto6.7

3Teleop56.6

1.4Endgame29.3

144Consistency159

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	46
teleop	17	78
endgame	5	37
foul	15	0
total	52	161

Result

Final score

52 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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