Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

241.12 – 241.25

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

152 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.8 ±13.9

6024R Factor

Season APEX 58Event APEX 41.94Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 92.16Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 107.02Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.6 ±14.5

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 77.82Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7730uNReal

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 46.95Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 116.48Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6024, 334, 6593

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6024, 334, 6593

Auto

30.4 13%

Teleop

137.0 60%

Endgame

60.0 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1601, 7730, 369

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.3 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1601, 7730, 369

Auto

40.2 16%

Teleop

141.1 57%

Endgame

65.9 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score241.1pts

Blue projected score241.3pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.1
Score range: 216–266
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 140.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.8Season APEX309.6

30.4Auto40.2

137Teleop141.1

60Endgame65.9

13Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	42
teleop	81	126
endgame	46	83
foul	0	0
total	152	251

Result

Final score

152 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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