Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

206.71 – 206.83

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

112 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.2 ±14.5

9636Space Junk

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 22.54Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 24.92Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 159.25Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 434.5 ±16.6

64018-bit RAMs

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 8.64Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 173.59Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9295Harlem Rails

Provisional

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 24.6Rank 31Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9636, 8739, 2872

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9636, 8739, 2872

Auto

36.8 18%

Teleop

100.7 49%

Endgame

66.7 33%

Strengths

· 2872 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6401, 3015, 9295

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6401, 3015, 9295

Auto

32.1 16%

Teleop

87.5 44%

Endgame

80.2 40%

Strengths

· 3015 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score206.7pts

Blue projected score206.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.1
Score range: 182–232
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 141.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.2Season APEX434.5

36.8Auto32.1

100.7Teleop87.5

66.7Endgame80.2

39Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	70
teleop	62	64
endgame	11	19
foul	0	0
total	112	153

Result

Final score

112 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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