Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.75 – 107.19

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 28 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±20.5

3053VB Stingers

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX 14.67Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3004Bx Quixote

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 44.09Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5421BirchBots

Provisional

Season APEX 93.7Event APEX 3.99Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.4 ±17.5

354G-House Pirates

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 77.78Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 22.05Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5806Basement Lions

Season APEX 86.4Event APEX 7.36Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3053, 3004, 5421

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3053, 3004, 5421

Auto

30.3 42%

Teleop

23.9 34%

Endgame

17.1 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 354, 6969, 5806

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 354, 6969, 5806

Auto

-2.3 0%

Teleop

64.1 70%

Endgame

30.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score62.8pts

Blue projected score107.2pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.4
Score range: 37–133
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 114 vs event baseline 144.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.3Season APEX251.4

30.3Auto-2.3

23.9Teleop64.1

17.1Endgame30.4

37Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	19
teleop	12	26
endgame	5	28
foul	5	0
total	41	73

Result

Final score

41 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 28 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.