Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.94 – 269.22

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

100 – 386

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.9 ±19.7

6590SaviTech

Provisional

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX -1.29Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10229Event Horizon

Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 63.46Rank 16Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

743Technobots

Provisional

Season APEX 55Event APEX 21.77Rank 36Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 507.3 ±19.1

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 236.09Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11090Kronos

Provisional

Season APEX 83.8Event APEX 13.75Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

640Edison Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 100.2Event APEX 19.38Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6590, 10229, 743

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6590, 10229, 743

Auto

19.4 22%

Teleop

49.8 56%

Endgame

19.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 694, 11090, 640

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 11090, 640

Auto

68.3 25%

Teleop

148.4 55%

Endgame

55.3 20%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score83.9pts

Blue projected score269.2pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -185.3
Score range: 59–294
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 486 vs event baseline 140.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.9Season APEX507.3

19.4Auto68.3

49.8Teleop148.4

19.1Endgame55.3

180Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	78
teleop	58	241
endgame	13	62
foul	0	5
total	100	386

Result

Final score

100 – 386

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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