Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.36 – 360.36

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 512

Prediction correct · off by 124.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.2 ±22

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 57.2Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

640Edison Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 100.2Event APEX 9.86Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3390ANATOLIAN EAGLEBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 1.3Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 622.6 ±15.3

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 202.16Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 120.04Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2344The Saunders Droid Factory

Provisional

Season APEX 118.7Event APEX 38.16Rank 7Record 7-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4972, 640, 3390

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.4 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4972, 640, 3390

Auto

21.9 31%

Teleop

54.6 76%

Endgame

-4.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 694, 2872, 2344

/ 100 compat

Projected

360.4 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 2872, 2344

Auto

60.1 17%

Teleop

199.4 55%

Endgame

100.4 28%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score68.4pts

Blue projected score360.4pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -292
Score range: 43–385
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 678 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.2Season APEX622.6

21.9Auto60.1

54.6Teleop199.4

-4.9Endgame100.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	97
teleop	108	298
endgame	42	107
foul	0	10
total	166	512

Result

Final score

166 – 512

Prediction correct · off by 124.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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