Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 58.91

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.2 ±18.2

64018-bit RAMs

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX -10.05Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7036The Beta Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX -35.75Rank 51Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7730uNReal

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 28.11Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.6 ±18.2

5123Mechadogs

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX -15.66Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4729EMU Robotics

Season APEX 66.9Event APEX 44.9Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3053VB Stingers

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX 29.67Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6401, 7036, 7730

/ 100 compat

Projected

-17.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6401, 7036, 7730

Auto

2.5 0%

Teleop

-16.6 73%

Endgame

-8.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5123, 4729, 3053

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.9 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5123, 4729, 3053

Auto

15.6 25%

Teleop

21.3 35%

Endgame

24.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-17.7pts

Blue projected score58.9pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.9
Score range: -26–85
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 144.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.2Season APEX141.6

2.5Auto15.6

-16.6Teleop21.3

-8.7Endgame24.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	15
teleop	29	44
endgame	15	12
foul	0	0
total	57	71

Result

Final score

57 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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