Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.6 – 58.73

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

375 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 114.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.8 ±16.5

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 58.71Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

354G-House Pirates

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 31.74Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 72.15Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.9 ±19.3

6590SaviTech

Provisional

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 27.74Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6873The Generals

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 12.22Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9030Qarabagh MecHack

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 18.77Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 369, 354, 2872

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 369, 354, 2872

Auto

30.7 20%

Teleop

96.8 63%

Endgame

26.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6590, 6873, 9030

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.7 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6590, 6873, 9030

Auto

-4.3 0%

Teleop

36.3 61%

Endgame

27.9 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.29 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score162.6pts

Blue projected score58.7pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.9
Score range: 34–188
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 137.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.8Season APEX239.9

30.7Auto-4.3

96.8Teleop36.3

26.6Endgame27.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	12
teleop	242	13
endgame	101	13
foul	0	5
total	375	43

Result

Final score

375 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 114.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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