Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.29 – 51.5

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

176 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.5 ±19.8

6024R Factor

Season APEX 58Event APEX 44.87Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10454UPC Raptors

Provisional

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 9.71Rank 22Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 65.71Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.1 ±17.7

64018-bit RAMs

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 10.84Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1635TECHNOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 12.37Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 28.29Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6024, 10454, 4972

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6024, 10454, 4972

Auto

24.7 22%

Teleop

62.4 55%

Endgame

26.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6401, 1635, 8739

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6401, 1635, 8739

Auto

9.2 18%

Teleop

27.0 53%

Endgame

15.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.3pts

Blue projected score51.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.8
Score range: 29–143
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 127.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.5Season APEX188.1

24.7Auto9.2

62.4Teleop27

26.8Endgame15

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	15
teleop	114	3
endgame	42	24
foul	5	15
total	176	57

Result

Final score

176 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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