Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

512.6 – 256.18

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

480 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 68.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.1 ±10.7

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 304.75Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 28.73Rank 39Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 179.12Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.8 ±12.8

6648MechaSpartans

Season APEX 80.8Event APEX 29.33Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 110.27Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 116.58Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 5298, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

512.6 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 5298, 3015

Auto

120.2 24%

Teleop

266.4 53%

Endgame

113.1 23%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6648, 1601, 3419

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.2 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6648, 1601, 3419

Auto

41.0 16%

Teleop

142.0 56%

Endgame

71.5 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score512.6pts

Blue projected score256.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 256.4
Score range: 227–542
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 631 vs event baseline 158.9.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

710.1Season APEX352.8

120.2Auto41

266.4Teleop142

113.1Endgame71.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	31
teleop	271	77
endgame	113	43
foul	0	0
total	480	151

Result

Final score

480 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 68.9 pts

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