Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
493.4 – 256.79
95%5%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
617 – 255
Prediction correct · off by 62.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.1 ±10.7
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 298.59Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 22.57Rank 39Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 172.24Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 80.8Event APEX 28.77Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 109.62Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 118.4Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 694, 5298, 3015
84
/ 100 compatProjected
493.4 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 694, 5298, 3015
Auto
117.6 25%
Teleop
252.2 53%
Endgame
109.2 23%
Strengths
- · 694 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6648, 1601, 3419
81
/ 100 compatProjected
256.8 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 6648, 1601, 3419
Auto
43.2 17%
Teleop
137.7 54%
Endgame
73.9 29%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score493.4pts
Blue projected score256.8pts
Red win probability95%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 236.6
- Score range
- 229–521
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
710.1Season APEX352.8
117.6Auto43.2
252.2Teleop137.7
109.2Endgame73.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 134 | 25 |
| teleop | 344 | 176 |
| endgame | 134 | 54 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 617 | 255 |
Result
Final score
617 – 255
Prediction correct · off by 62.7 pts
Match videos
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