Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

399.14 – 294.65

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 588.4 ±10.5

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 202.58Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6348PrepaTec - HORUS

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 23.78Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 172.78Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.7 ±12.8

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 60.3Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 94.54Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8011Wayi Guangzhou

Season APEX 147.3Event APEX 139.81Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 6348, 4027

/ 100 compat

Projected

399.1 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 6348, 4027

Auto

67.5 17%

Teleop

237.2 60%

Endgame

93.3 23%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2265, 4122, 8011

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2265, 4122, 8011

Auto

70.5 25%

Teleop

163.5 58%

Endgame

48.2 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score399.1pts

Blue projected score294.7pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.5
Score range: 259–435
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 571 vs event baseline 198.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

588.4Season APEX475.7

67.5Auto70.5

237.2Teleop163.5

93.3Endgame48.2

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	101	59
teleop	146	159
endgame	33	53
foul	15	5
total	295	276

Result

Final score

295 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Match videos

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